Overview:

Serie A Round 38 matchup at Via del Mare between US Lecce and Genoa CFC. Lecce are likely under stronger pressure due to lower table position and survival implications, while Genoa arrive with a more stable season overall. Expect a cautious, high-intensity game with significant tactical discipline and limited margins.

Recent H2H results: Genoa edge historical H2H

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Lecce may start aggressively to leverage home energy and result pressure, while Genoa are likely to remain compact and look for transitions and set pieces. Midfield duels and first-goal impact are likely decisive. If the match stays level late, tension may increase and reduce open-play risk taking.
Genoa’s slightly stronger season profile and historical H2H edge offset Lecce’s home urgency. The match projects as tightly contested, with a draw or narrow Genoa edge most probable. Low scoring is favored because both sides should prioritize structure over risk.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

US Lecce	Genoa CFC
Expected Possession
49.2	50.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.08	1.22
Win Probability
31.4	33.8

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

US Lecce VS Genoa CFC

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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