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Round 1 - Ligue 1

OGC Nice VS FC Lorient

Allianz Riviera

22 August, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 match between OGC Nice and FC Lorient with Nice holding the stronger home edge and the historical head-to-head slightly favoring Nice. Recent matchup data also points to a tight contest, including a 0-0 league draw in February 2026 and a generally narrow scoring profile between the sides.[1][3][7]

Recent H2H results: Nice 0-0 Lorient

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of OGC Nice.
This profiles as a cautious Ligue 1 game with Nice likely to control more of the ball while Lorient prioritize compact defending and transitions. The recent 0-0 result and the narrow win probabilities suggest a low-margin match where one goal may decide it.[1][3][4]
Home advantage, slightly stronger historical numbers, and the market-style probabilities all tilt the forecast toward Nice, but the draw remains a major outcome because the matchup has already produced a goalless league meeting and low-scoring expectations.[1][3][4][7]

Last Update: 26-07-2026

Stats:

OGC Nice FC Lorient
Expected Possession
53.2 46.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.35 1.05
Win Probability
41.02 32.14
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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