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Round 2 - Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 VS Toulouse FC

Stade Francis-Le Blé

29 August, 2026

Overview:

Stade Brestois 29 at home against Toulouse FC in Ligue 1 is projected as a tight, low-margin matchup with Brest holding a slight edge from home advantage and stronger recent resilience in high-level fixtures.[1][2][3]

Recent H2H results: Brest ended PSG's 14-match H2H streak

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Stade Brestois 29.
Expect Brest to prioritize compact spacing, selective pressing, and direct attacks, while Toulouse will likely look to control central zones and exploit transitions. The first goal should strongly influence game rhythm and risk levels.
Brest's home edge and slightly stronger defensive stability make them marginal favorites, but the matchup profile still supports a draw as the most plausible alternative outcome.

Last Update: 27-07-2026

Stats:

Stade Brestois 29 Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
51.8 48.2
Average Goals Per Match
1.42 1.18
Win Probability
38.6 28
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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