Round 3 - Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC VS RC Strasbourg Alsace
no data available
5 September, 2026
Overview:
Ligue 1 round 3 match between ES Troyes AC and RC Strasbourg Alsace. Troyes enter as a newly promoted side back in Ligue 1 after winning Ligue 2 in 2025-26, while Strasbourg are the more established top-flight club and should have the stronger baseline squad level. The model favors a close, low-margin contest with Strasbourg slightly ahead on overall quality and experience.[1][3][5][7]
Recent H2H results: Limited recent data
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of RC Strasbourg Alsace.
Strasbourg are projected to control slightly more possession, while Troyes are likely to rely on compact defending and transition attacks. Troyes’ recent promotion suggests strong morale, but Strasbourg’s established Ligue 1 status and squad continuity should help them manage game phases better.[1][3][5][7]
The combination of Troyes returning to Ligue 1 and Strasbourg’s likely edge in experience shifts the model toward an away result or draw rather than a home win. A narrow scoreline is most probable because Troyes’ confidence may offset some of the quality gap.[1][3][5]
Last Update: 31-07-2026
Stats:
| ES Troyes AC | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 47.5 | 52.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Win Probability | |
| 28 | 42 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 4 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyon | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 8 | 23 | 17 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 34 | 21 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 27 | 16 | 1 |
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 33 | 16 | 8 |
| L. Sinayoko | AJA | MAL | 32 | 13 | 4 |