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Round 3 - Ligue 1

ES Troyes AC VS RC Strasbourg Alsace

no data available

5 September, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 round 3 match between ES Troyes AC and RC Strasbourg Alsace. Troyes enter as a newly promoted side back in Ligue 1 after winning Ligue 2 in 2025-26, while Strasbourg are the more established top-flight club and should have the stronger baseline squad level. The model favors a close, low-margin contest with Strasbourg slightly ahead on overall quality and experience.[1][3][5][7]

Recent H2H results: Limited recent data

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of RC Strasbourg Alsace.
Strasbourg are projected to control slightly more possession, while Troyes are likely to rely on compact defending and transition attacks. Troyes’ recent promotion suggests strong morale, but Strasbourg’s established Ligue 1 status and squad continuity should help them manage game phases better.[1][3][5][7]
The combination of Troyes returning to Ligue 1 and Strasbourg’s likely edge in experience shifts the model toward an away result or draw rather than a home win. A narrow scoreline is most probable because Troyes’ confidence may offset some of the quality gap.[1][3][5]

Last Update: 31-07-2026

Stats:

ES Troyes AC RC Strasbourg Alsace
Expected Possession
47.5 52.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.2 1.4
Win Probability
28 42
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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