Overview:

Lille OSC enter the matchup as the stronger side on current season indicators, with a solid defensive record, strong possession profile, and a generally competitive Ligue 1 position. ES Troyes AC are projected as the underdog, with Lille favored to control territory and create the higher-quality chances.

Recent H2H results: Lille ahead in recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Lille OSC.
Lille are likely to use a patient possession-based approach with structured pressing and territory control, while Troyes will likely need compact defending and fast counters to stay competitive. The matchup favors Lille because their defensive stability and ball retention should reduce Troyes' transition opportunities.
Lille's stronger defensive metrics, higher expected control of possession, and better scoring output increase their probability of winning, while Troyes' main path to an upset is an efficient counterattack or set-piece goal.

Last Update: 01-08-2026

Stats:

Lille OSC	ES Troyes AC
Expected Possession
56	44
Average Goals Per Match
1.56	1.05
Win Probability
66	12

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	PSG	24	4	6	76
2	RC Lens	22	4	8	70
3	Lille	18	7	9	61
4	Olympique Lyon	18	6	10	60
5	Marseille	18	5	11	59
6	Stade Rennais	17	8	9	59
7	Monaco	16	6	12	54
8	Strasbourg	15	8	11	53
9	Lorient	11	12	11	45
10	Toulouse	12	8	13	44
11	Paris FC	11	11	12	44
12	Brest	10	9	15	39
13	Angers SCO	9	9	16	36
14	Le Havre	7	14	13	35
15	Auxerre	8	10	16	34
16	Nice	7	11	16	32
17	Nantes	5	8	20	23
18	FC Metz	3	8	23	17

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
E. Lepaul	REN	FRA	34	21	5
J. Panichelli	RC	ARG	27	16	1
M. Greenwood	MAR	ENG	33	16	8
L. Sinayoko	AJA	MAL	32	13	4

Lille OSC VS ES Troyes AC

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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