Round 4 - Ligue 1
AJ Auxerre VS OGC Nice
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
12 September, 2026
Overview:
AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice enter this Ligue 1 matchup with closely matched season profiles, but Nice have the stronger overall form rating while Auxerre have the edge in home context and recent H2H balance. The most likely game state is a tight, low-margin contest with both teams capable of scoring.
Recent H2H results: Auxerre 2-1 Nice
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of AJ Auxerre.
Auxerre are likely to press more at home and seek transitions, while Nice may try to control tempo and deny space between the lines. Set pieces and first-goal timing could be decisive in a match projected to stay narrow.
Auxerre's home advantage and recent direct success reduce Nice's edge, but Nice's stronger form metrics keep the contest close. This supports a narrow home lean with draw a strong alternative.
Last Update: 01-08-2026
Stats:
| AJ Auxerre | OGC Nice |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52 | 48 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Win Probability | |
| 42.83 | 29.48 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 4 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyon | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 8 | 23 | 17 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 34 | 21 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 27 | 16 | 1 |
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 33 | 16 | 8 |
| L. Sinayoko | AJA | MAL | 32 | 13 | 4 |