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Round 5 - Ligue 1

Toulouse FC VS Le Havre AC

Stadium de Toulouse

19 September, 2026

Overview:

Toulouse FC enter this Ligue 1 match with a mid-table profile, modest scoring output, and a defensive record that allows chances. Le Havre AC are typically a lower-possession side, so the match is likely to be decided by Toulouse’s home edge, set-piece quality, and game-state control.

Recent H2H results: N/A

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Toulouse FC.
Toulouse are likely to press selectively and lean on set pieces, while Le Havre may sit deeper and look for counters. If Toulouse score first, the match should tilt toward a controlled home win; if Le Havre keep it level deep into the match, a draw becomes more plausible.
The home advantage, Toulouse’s stronger set-piece threat, and Le Havre’s likely reactive approach point toward a narrow Toulouse result rather than a high-scoring game.

Last Update: 02-08-2026

Stats:

Toulouse FC Le Havre AC
Expected Possession
39 41
Average Goals Per Match
1.57 1.1
Win Probability
47 24
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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