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Round 13 - Serie A

AC Milan VS Lazio Roma

San Siro

29 November, 2025

Overview:

AC Milan hosts Lazio Roma in Round 13 of Serie A at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza stadium. Milan holds a commanding head-to-head record with 78 wins against Lazio''s 40 wins in 182 encounters. Both teams possess strong defensive records, each conceding only 9 goals in 12 matches this season, ranking among Serie A''s top defensive units.

Recent H2H results: Milan 1-2 Lazio (Mar 2, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of AC Milan.
Milan''s home advantage and superior possession control (estimated 58%) should enable sustained pressure despite Lazio''s defensive strength. Lazio''s counter-attacking approach faces limitations given Milan''s 2nd-place ranking and offensive firepower. The absence of key Lazio midfielders (Cataldi, Rovella doubtful) weakens their ability to control tempo. Both teams'' strong defenses suggest low-scoring pattern. Milan''s historical dominance and current form provide tactical edge despite recent head-to-head setbacks.
Milan''s home record combined with superior league position and historical advantage significantly impacts prediction toward home victory. However, Lazio''s exceptional defensive form (one goal conceded in last six matches) and recent tactical success constrains prediction confidence. Personnel absences for Lazio strengthen Milan''s position considerably. The recent 1-2 Lazio victory introduces uncertainty requiring cautious assessment. Defensive solidity from both sides suggests narrow scoreline.

Stats:

AC Milan Lazio Roma
Expected Possession
0.58 0.42
Average Goals Per Match
1.5 1
Win Probability
0.62 0.16
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 14 1 4 43
2 Milan 11 7 1 40
3 Napoli 12 3 4 39
4 Roma 13 0 7 39
5 Juventus 10 6 3 36
6 Como 1907 9 7 3 34
7 Atalanta 8 7 5 31
8 Lazio 7 7 6 28
9 Bologna 7 6 6 27
10 Udinese 7 5 8 26
11 Sassuolo 6 5 9 23
12 Torino 6 5 9 23
13 Cremonese 5 7 7 22
14 Parma 5 6 8 21
15 Cagliari 4 7 8 19
16 Lecce 4 5 10 17
17 Genoa 3 7 9 16
18 Fiorentina 2 8 10 14
19 AC Pisa 1 10 9 13
20 Verona 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 19 10 4
C. Pulisic MIL USA 14 8 2
H. Çalhanoğlu INT TUR 17 7 2
R. Leão MIL POR 13 7 1

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