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Round 17 - La Liga

Girona FC VS Atletico Madrid

Estadi Montilivi

22 December, 2025

Overview:

At Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Girona (18th) host Atlético Madrid (4th) in Round 17 of LaLiga; Atlético arrive as the stronger side overall with superior goal output and recent away form, while Girona have struggled for consistency and concede late goals, so model expects Atlético to control the match and be favorites to win.

Recent H2H results: Atleti 4-0 (May 25, 2025); recent H2H favors Atlético

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Girona likely to sit deeper and look for counters and set-pieces; Atlético expected to press high, control possession through midfield and exploit wide overloads — success depends on Atlético breaking Girona's low block and Girona capitalizing on transition moments.
Atlético's superior chance conversion and recent head-to-head dominance increase their win probability; Girona's late-goal concession pattern reduces their chance of holding a draw or winning.

Last Update: 20-12-2025

Stats:

Girona FC Atletico Madrid
Expected Possession
44 56
Average Goals Per Match
0.9 1.8
Win Probability
0.18 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 22 6 10 72
4 Atleti 21 6 11 69
5 Real Betis 15 15 8 60
6 Celta 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla FC 12 7 19 43
14 Alavés 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 9 14 15 41
20 Real Oviedo 6 11 21 29
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 31 25 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 37 23 1
A. Budimir OSA CRO 37 17 N/A
F. Torres FCB SPA 35 16 3

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