Overview:

At Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Girona (18th) host Atlético Madrid (4th) in Round 17 of LaLiga; Atlético arrive as the stronger side overall with superior goal output and recent away form, while Girona have struggled for consistency and concede late goals, so model expects Atlético to control the match and be favorites to win.

Recent H2H results: Atleti 4-0 (May 25, 2025); recent H2H favors Atlético

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Girona likely to sit deeper and look for counters and set-pieces; Atlético expected to press high, control possession through midfield and exploit wide overloads — success depends on Atlético breaking Girona's low block and Girona capitalizing on transition moments.
Atlético's superior chance conversion and recent head-to-head dominance increase their win probability; Girona's late-goal concession pattern reduces their chance of holding a draw or winning.

Stats:

Girona FC	Atletico Madrid
Expected Possession
44	56
Average Goals Per Match
0.9	1.8
Win Probability
0.18	0.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	16	1	2	49
2	Real Madrid	14	3	2	45
3	Villarreal	13	2	3	41
4	Atleti	11	5	3	38
5	Espanyol	10	4	5	34
6	Real Betis	7	8	4	29
7	Celta	6	8	4	26
8	Athletic	7	3	9	24
9	Elche	5	8	6	23
10	Rayo Vallecano	5	7	7	22
11	Real Sociedad	5	6	8	21
12	Getafe	6	3	10	21
13	Girona	5	6	8	21
14	Sevilla FC	6	2	10	20
15	Osasuna	5	4	10	19
16	Alavés	5	4	10	19
17	Mallorca	4	6	9	18
18	Valencia	3	8	8	17
19	Levante	3	5	10	14
20	Real Oviedo	2	7	10	13

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	17	18	4
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	18	11	2
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	18	11	N/A
R. Lewandowski	FCB	POL	16	9	1

Girona FC VS Atletico Madrid

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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