Round 17 - La Liga
Villarreal CF VS FC Barcelona
Estadio de la Cerámica
22 December, 2025
Overview:
Close LaLiga clash at Estadio de la Cerámica between 3rd-place Villarreal and leaders Barcelona; Villarreal’s compact counter-attacking system and set-piece threat versus Barcelona’s high-possession, creative wing play makes this a competitive fixture where Barcelona are marginal favorites but Villarreal can exploit transitional moments.
Recent H2H results: Most recent meetings: Villarreal 2-3 Barcelona (May 2025); Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona (2024/25)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Barcelona.
Villarreal will sit slightly deeper and aim to force turnovers for rapid counters and set-piece opportunities; Barcelona will probe through wide combinations and positional rotations — success depends on Barcelona breaking Villarreal’s compact midfield without leaving gaps for counters.
Villarreal’s counter threat and set-pieces raise the probability of goals for both sides and reduce margin of victory for Barcelona; Barcelona’s superior possession and chance-creation still tilt expected outcome toward an away win but with a significant draw/upset chance.
Last Update: 20-12-2025
Stats:
| Villarreal CF | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 44 | 56 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.22 | 0.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 31 | 1 | 6 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 5 | 6 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 |
| 4 | Atleti | 21 | 6 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 15 | 15 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 14 | 12 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic | 13 | 6 | 19 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 7 | 19 | 43 |
| 14 | Alavés | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 6 | 11 | 21 | 29 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 31 | 25 | 4 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 37 | 23 | 1 |
| A. Budimir | OSA | CRO | 37 | 17 | N/A |
| F. Torres | FCB | SPA | 35 | 16 | 3 |