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Round 17 - La Liga

Villarreal CF VS FC Barcelona

Estadio de la Cerámica

22 December, 2025

Overview:

Close LaLiga clash at Estadio de la Cerámica between 3rd-place Villarreal and leaders Barcelona; Villarreal’s compact counter-attacking system and set-piece threat versus Barcelona’s high-possession, creative wing play makes this a competitive fixture where Barcelona are marginal favorites but Villarreal can exploit transitional moments.

Recent H2H results: Most recent meetings: Villarreal 2-3 Barcelona (May 2025); Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona (2024/25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Barcelona.
Villarreal will sit slightly deeper and aim to force turnovers for rapid counters and set-piece opportunities; Barcelona will probe through wide combinations and positional rotations — success depends on Barcelona breaking Villarreal’s compact midfield without leaving gaps for counters.
Villarreal’s counter threat and set-pieces raise the probability of goals for both sides and reduce margin of victory for Barcelona; Barcelona’s superior possession and chance-creation still tilt expected outcome toward an away win but with a significant draw/upset chance.

Last Update: 20-12-2025

Stats:

Villarreal CF FC Barcelona
Expected Possession
44 56
Average Goals Per Match
1.7 2.8
Win Probability
0.22 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 22 6 10 72
4 Atleti 21 6 11 69
5 Real Betis 15 15 8 60
6 Celta 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla FC 12 7 19 43
14 Alavés 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 9 14 15 41
20 Real Oviedo 6 11 21 29
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 31 25 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 37 23 1
A. Budimir OSA CRO 37 17 N/A
F. Torres FCB SPA 35 16 3

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