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Round 17 - La Liga

Villarreal CF VS FC Barcelona

Estadio de la Cerámica

22 December, 2025

Overview:

Close LaLiga clash at Estadio de la Cerámica between 3rd-place Villarreal and leaders Barcelona; Villarreal’s compact counter-attacking system and set-piece threat versus Barcelona’s high-possession, creative wing play makes this a competitive fixture where Barcelona are marginal favorites but Villarreal can exploit transitional moments.

Recent H2H results: Most recent meetings: Villarreal 2-3 Barcelona (May 2025); Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona (2024/25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Barcelona.
Villarreal will sit slightly deeper and aim to force turnovers for rapid counters and set-piece opportunities; Barcelona will probe through wide combinations and positional rotations — success depends on Barcelona breaking Villarreal’s compact midfield without leaving gaps for counters.
Villarreal’s counter threat and set-pieces raise the probability of goals for both sides and reduce margin of victory for Barcelona; Barcelona’s superior possession and chance-creation still tilt expected outcome toward an away win but with a significant draw/upset chance.

Last Update: 20-12-2025

Stats:

Villarreal CF FC Barcelona
Expected Possession
44 56
Average Goals Per Match
1.7 2.8
Win Probability
0.22 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 26 1 4 79
2 Real Madrid 22 4 5 70
3 Villarreal 19 4 8 61
4 Atleti 17 6 8 57
5 Real Betis 11 13 7 46
6 Celta 11 11 9 44
7 Real Sociedad 11 9 11 42
8 Getafe 12 5 13 41
9 Osasuna 10 9 12 39
10 Espanyol 10 8 13 38
11 Girona 9 11 11 38
12 Athletic 11 5 15 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 8 11 12 35
14 Valencia 9 8 14 35
15 Mallorca 9 7 15 34
16 Sevilla FC 9 7 15 34
17 Alavés 8 9 14 33
18 Elche 7 11 13 32
19 Real Oviedo 6 9 16 27
20 Levante 6 8 16 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 26 23 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 30 21 1
A. Budimir OSA CRO 30 16 N/A
L. Yamal FCB SPA 27 15 11

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