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Round 17 - La Liga

Villarreal CF VS FC Barcelona

Estadio de la Cerámica

22 December, 2025

Overview:

Close LaLiga clash at Estadio de la Cerámica between 3rd-place Villarreal and leaders Barcelona; Villarreal’s compact counter-attacking system and set-piece threat versus Barcelona’s high-possession, creative wing play makes this a competitive fixture where Barcelona are marginal favorites but Villarreal can exploit transitional moments.

Recent H2H results: Most recent meetings: Villarreal 2-3 Barcelona (May 2025); Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona (2024/25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Barcelona.
Villarreal will sit slightly deeper and aim to force turnovers for rapid counters and set-piece opportunities; Barcelona will probe through wide combinations and positional rotations — success depends on Barcelona breaking Villarreal’s compact midfield without leaving gaps for counters.
Villarreal’s counter threat and set-pieces raise the probability of goals for both sides and reduce margin of victory for Barcelona; Barcelona’s superior possession and chance-creation still tilt expected outcome toward an away win but with a significant draw/upset chance.

Stats:

Villarreal CF FC Barcelona
Expected Possession
44 56
Average Goals Per Match
1.7 2.8
Win Probability
0.22 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 16 1 2 49
2 Real Madrid 14 3 2 45
3 Villarreal 13 2 3 41
4 Atleti 11 5 3 38
5 Espanyol 10 4 5 34
6 Real Betis 7 8 4 29
7 Celta 6 8 4 26
8 Athletic 7 3 9 24
9 Elche 5 8 6 23
10 Rayo Vallecano 5 7 7 22
11 Real Sociedad 5 6 8 21
12 Getafe 6 3 10 21
13 Girona 5 6 8 21
14 Sevilla FC 6 2 10 20
15 Osasuna 5 4 10 19
16 Alavés 5 4 10 19
17 Mallorca 4 6 9 18
18 Valencia 3 8 8 17
19 Levante 3 5 10 14
20 Real Oviedo 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 17 18 4
F. Torres FCB SPA 18 11 2
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 18 11 N/A
R. Lewandowski FCB POL 16 9 1

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