Round 17 - La Liga
Villarreal CF VS FC Barcelona
Estadio de la Cerámica
22 December, 2025
Overview:
Close LaLiga clash at Estadio de la Cerámica between 3rd-place Villarreal and leaders Barcelona; Villarreal’s compact counter-attacking system and set-piece threat versus Barcelona’s high-possession, creative wing play makes this a competitive fixture where Barcelona are marginal favorites but Villarreal can exploit transitional moments.
Recent H2H results: Most recent meetings: Villarreal 2-3 Barcelona (May 2025); Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona (2024/25)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Barcelona.
Villarreal will sit slightly deeper and aim to force turnovers for rapid counters and set-piece opportunities; Barcelona will probe through wide combinations and positional rotations — success depends on Barcelona breaking Villarreal’s compact midfield without leaving gaps for counters.
Villarreal’s counter threat and set-pieces raise the probability of goals for both sides and reduce margin of victory for Barcelona; Barcelona’s superior possession and chance-creation still tilt expected outcome toward an away win but with a significant draw/upset chance.
Stats:
| Villarreal CF | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 44 | 56 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.22 | 0.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 16 | 1 | 2 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 2 | 3 | 41 |
| 4 | Atleti | 11 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Celta | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Athletic | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 5 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 | Getafe | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 13 | Girona | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla FC | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 16 | Alavés | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 17 | 18 | 4 |
| F. Torres | FCB | SPA | 18 | 11 | 2 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 18 | 11 | N/A |
| R. Lewandowski | FCB | POL | 16 | 9 | 1 |