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Round 19 - La Liga

Athletic Club VS Real Madrid

San Mamés Stadium

3 December, 2025

Overview:

Athletic Club host Real Madrid in a LaLiga Round 19 fixture at San Mamés; Real Madrid arrive off recent dominant wins and superior recent form, while Athletic rely on home intensity and set-piece threat — expectation is a competitive match where Real Madrid are favorites but both sides can score.

Recent H2H results: Last meeting: Athletic 0-3 Real Madrid (Dec 3, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Real Madrid.
Athletic likely to use narrow midfield and wing-overlaps to exploit set-pieces and aerial duels; Real Madrid expected to control possession, overload wide channels and use quick transitions through forward runners; Real may target gaps behind fullbacks while Athletic aim to disrupt buildup and force turnovers.
Real Madrid's superior form, finishing efficiency and squad depth increase their win probability, while Athletic's home intensity and set-piece threat raise likelihood of at least one home goal and a competitive scoreline.

Stats:

Athletic Club Real Madrid
Expected Possession
42.5 57.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.3 2.4
Win Probability
0.18 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 16 1 2 49
2 Real Madrid 14 3 2 45
3 Villarreal 13 2 3 41
4 Atleti 11 5 3 38
5 Espanyol 10 4 5 34
6 Real Betis 7 8 4 29
7 Celta 6 8 4 26
8 Athletic 7 3 9 24
9 Elche 5 8 6 23
10 Rayo Vallecano 5 7 7 22
11 Real Sociedad 5 6 8 21
12 Getafe 6 3 10 21
13 Girona 5 6 8 21
14 Sevilla FC 6 2 10 20
15 Osasuna 5 4 10 19
16 Alavés 5 4 10 19
17 Mallorca 4 6 9 18
18 Valencia 3 8 8 17
19 Levante 3 5 10 14
20 Real Oviedo 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 17 18 4
F. Torres FCB SPA 18 11 2
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 18 11 N/A
R. Lewandowski FCB POL 16 9 1

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