Overview:

Atlético Madrid (4th place, 41 points) hosts Mallorca (15th place, 21 points) in LaLiga Matchday 21. Atlético enters as heavy favorites with superior form, possession control, and goal-scoring prowess, while Mallorca seeks to upset the hosts despite significant points differential.

Recent H2H results: Atlético Madrid leads 9-5 with 4 draws in head-to-head record

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Atlético's possession dominance (53.7% vs 43.7%) will likely dictate tempo; Mallorca must exploit counter-attacking opportunities through Muriqi's pace. Atlético's superior xG differential (30.35 vs 17.55) suggests they create higher quality chances. Mallorca's 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive solidity but limits attacking penetration against structured defense. Atlético's home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with recent strong home performances critical factor.
Atlético's 12-win record in 20 matches demonstrates dominance; Mallorca's 5-win record in 17 matches shows inconsistency. Goal-scoring differential (1.83 vs 1.12 per match) heavily favors hosts. Atlético's recent form recovery and Mallorca's defensive instability strongly favor home team. Historical head-to-head advantage (9 wins) reinforces prediction. Injury situation favors neither team significantly but depth advantage Atlético.

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Atletico Madrid	RCD Mallorca
Expected Possession
53.7	43.7
Average Goals Per Match
1.83	1.12
Win Probability
0.72	0.1

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	31	1	6	94
2	Real Madrid	27	5	6	86
3	Villarreal	22	6	10	72
4	Atleti	21	6	11	69
5	Real Betis	15	15	8	60
6	Celta	14	12	12	54
7	Getafe	15	6	17	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	12	14	12	50
9	Valencia	13	10	15	49
10	Real Sociedad	11	13	14	46
11	Espanyol	12	10	16	46
12	Athletic	13	6	19	45
13	Sevilla FC	12	7	19	43
14	Alavés	11	10	17	43
15	Elche	10	13	15	43
16	Levante	11	9	18	42
17	Osasuna	11	9	18	42
18	Mallorca	11	9	18	42
19	Girona	9	14	15	41
20	Real Oviedo	6	11	21	29

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	31	25	4
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	37	23	1
A. Budimir	OSA	CRO	37	17	N/A
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	35	16	3

Atletico Madrid VS RCD Mallorca

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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