Round 21 - La Liga
Atletico Madrid VS RCD Mallorca
Cívitas Metropolitano
25 January, 2026
Overview:
Atlético Madrid (4th place, 41 points) hosts Mallorca (15th place, 21 points) in LaLiga Matchday 21. Atlético enters as heavy favorites with superior form, possession control, and goal-scoring prowess, while Mallorca seeks to upset the hosts despite significant points differential.
Recent H2H results: Atlético Madrid leads 9-5 with 4 draws in head-to-head record
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Atlético's possession dominance (53.7% vs 43.7%) will likely dictate tempo; Mallorca must exploit counter-attacking opportunities through Muriqi's pace. Atlético's superior xG differential (30.35 vs 17.55) suggests they create higher quality chances. Mallorca's 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive solidity but limits attacking penetration against structured defense. Atlético's home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with recent strong home performances critical factor.
Atlético's 12-win record in 20 matches demonstrates dominance; Mallorca's 5-win record in 17 matches shows inconsistency. Goal-scoring differential (1.83 vs 1.12 per match) heavily favors hosts. Atlético's recent form recovery and Mallorca's defensive instability strongly favor home team. Historical head-to-head advantage (9 wins) reinforces prediction. Injury situation favors neither team significantly but depth advantage Atlético.
Last Update: 23-01-2026
Stats:
| Atletico Madrid | RCD Mallorca |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 53.7 | 43.7 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.83 | 1.12 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.72 | 0.1 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 26 | 1 | 4 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 19 | 4 | 8 | 61 |
| 4 | Atleti | 17 | 6 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 11 | 13 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 9 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 12 | 5 | 13 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 |
| 11 | Girona | 9 | 11 | 11 | 38 |
| 12 | Athletic | 11 | 5 | 15 | 38 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla FC | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34 |
| 17 | Alavés | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 |
| 20 | Levante | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 26 | 23 | 4 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 30 | 21 | 1 |
| A. Budimir | OSA | CRO | 30 | 16 | N/A |
| L. Yamal | FCB | SPA | 27 | 15 | 11 |