All predictions, forecasts, and information provided on GoalOverflow.com are for entertainment and informational purposes only

Round 21 - La Liga

Atletico Madrid VS RCD Mallorca

Cívitas Metropolitano

25 January, 2026

Overview:

Atlético Madrid (4th place, 41 points) hosts Mallorca (15th place, 21 points) in LaLiga Matchday 21. Atlético enters as heavy favorites with superior form, possession control, and goal-scoring prowess, while Mallorca seeks to upset the hosts despite significant points differential.

Recent H2H results: Atlético Madrid leads 9-5 with 4 draws in head-to-head record

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Atlético's possession dominance (53.7% vs 43.7%) will likely dictate tempo; Mallorca must exploit counter-attacking opportunities through Muriqi's pace. Atlético's superior xG differential (30.35 vs 17.55) suggests they create higher quality chances. Mallorca's 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive solidity but limits attacking penetration against structured defense. Atlético's home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with recent strong home performances critical factor.
Atlético's 12-win record in 20 matches demonstrates dominance; Mallorca's 5-win record in 17 matches shows inconsistency. Goal-scoring differential (1.83 vs 1.12 per match) heavily favors hosts. Atlético's recent form recovery and Mallorca's defensive instability strongly favor home team. Historical head-to-head advantage (9 wins) reinforces prediction. Injury situation favors neither team significantly but depth advantage Atlético.

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Atletico Madrid RCD Mallorca
Expected Possession
53.7 43.7
Average Goals Per Match
1.83 1.12
Win Probability
0.72 0.1
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 26 1 4 79
2 Real Madrid 22 4 5 70
3 Villarreal 19 4 8 61
4 Atleti 17 6 8 57
5 Real Betis 11 13 7 46
6 Celta 11 11 9 44
7 Real Sociedad 11 9 11 42
8 Getafe 12 5 13 41
9 Osasuna 10 9 12 39
10 Espanyol 10 8 13 38
11 Girona 9 11 11 38
12 Athletic 11 5 15 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 8 11 12 35
14 Valencia 9 8 14 35
15 Mallorca 9 7 15 34
16 Sevilla FC 9 7 15 34
17 Alavés 8 9 14 33
18 Elche 7 11 13 32
19 Real Oviedo 6 9 16 27
20 Levante 6 8 16 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 26 23 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 30 21 1
A. Budimir OSA CRO 30 16 N/A
L. Yamal FCB SPA 27 15 11

Enjoy Our Free Sports Tips?

Support Us with a Donation to Keep the Website Alive and Growing!

Donate to GoalOverflow football predictions - banner with woman and soccer ball