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Round 21 - La Liga

Atletico Madrid VS RCD Mallorca

Cívitas Metropolitano

25 January, 2026

Overview:

Atlético Madrid (4th place, 41 points) hosts Mallorca (15th place, 21 points) in LaLiga Matchday 21. Atlético enters as heavy favorites with superior form, possession control, and goal-scoring prowess, while Mallorca seeks to upset the hosts despite significant points differential.

Recent H2H results: Atlético Madrid leads 9-5 with 4 draws in head-to-head record

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid.
Atlético's possession dominance (53.7% vs 43.7%) will likely dictate tempo; Mallorca must exploit counter-attacking opportunities through Muriqi's pace. Atlético's superior xG differential (30.35 vs 17.55) suggests they create higher quality chances. Mallorca's 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive solidity but limits attacking penetration against structured defense. Atlético's home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with recent strong home performances critical factor.
Atlético's 12-win record in 20 matches demonstrates dominance; Mallorca's 5-win record in 17 matches shows inconsistency. Goal-scoring differential (1.83 vs 1.12 per match) heavily favors hosts. Atlético's recent form recovery and Mallorca's defensive instability strongly favor home team. Historical head-to-head advantage (9 wins) reinforces prediction. Injury situation favors neither team significantly but depth advantage Atlético.

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Atletico Madrid RCD Mallorca
Expected Possession
53.7 43.7
Average Goals Per Match
1.83 1.12
Win Probability
0.72 0.1
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 20 1 4 61
2 Real Madrid 19 3 3 60
3 Villarreal 16 3 6 51
4 Atleti 14 6 5 48
5 Real Betis 11 9 5 42
6 Celta 9 10 6 37
7 Espanyol 10 5 10 35
8 Athletic 10 4 11 34
9 Osasuna 9 6 10 33
10 Real Sociedad 8 8 9 32
11 Girona 7 9 9 30
12 Sevilla FC 8 5 12 29
13 Getafe 8 5 12 29
14 Alavés 7 6 12 27
15 Rayo Vallecano 6 8 10 26
16 Valencia 6 8 11 26
17 Elche 5 10 10 25
18 Mallorca 6 6 13 24
19 Levante 4 6 15 18
20 Real Oviedo 3 8 13 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 23 23 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 24 16 1
F. Torres FCB SPA 23 12 2
A. Budimir OSA CRO 24 12 N/A

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