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Round 22 - La Liga

Real Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano

Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

1 February, 2026

Overview:

La Liga Round 22 fixture between Real Madrid (home) and Rayo Vallecano (away) scheduled for February 1, 2026. Real Madrid are heavy favorites despite Rayo Vallecano holding them to a goalless draw in their November meeting.

Recent H2H results: 0-0 draw (November 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Real Madrid.
Real Madrid will likely dominate possession and create numerous chances from wide areas through their fullbacks. Rayo Vallecano will employ compact defensive shape and counter-attacking strategy. Historical h2h data shows 8 of last 9 meetings ended with 2 or fewer goals, suggesting defensive solidity from visiting team despite quality gap.
Real Madrid's dominant home record, superior attacking personnel, and Rayo Vallecano's poor form and low scoring average strongly favor the hosts. However, the previous goalless draw and Rayo's defensive organization prevent a highly confident prediction of large margins.

Stats:

Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano
Expected Possession
0.65 0.35
Average Goals Per Match
2.1 0.76
Win Probability
0.78 0.07
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 16 1 2 49
2 Real Madrid 14 3 2 45
3 Villarreal 13 2 3 41
4 Atleti 11 5 3 38
5 Espanyol 10 4 5 34
6 Real Betis 7 8 4 29
7 Celta 6 8 4 26
8 Athletic 7 3 9 24
9 Elche 5 8 6 23
10 Rayo Vallecano 5 7 7 22
11 Real Sociedad 5 6 8 21
12 Getafe 6 3 10 21
13 Girona 5 6 8 21
14 Sevilla FC 6 2 10 20
15 Osasuna 5 4 10 19
16 Alavés 5 4 10 19
17 Mallorca 4 6 9 18
18 Valencia 3 8 8 17
19 Levante 3 5 10 14
20 Real Oviedo 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 17 18 4
F. Torres FCB SPA 18 11 2
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 18 11 N/A
R. Lewandowski FCB POL 16 9 1

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