Round 22 - La Liga
Real Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
1 February, 2026
Overview:
La Liga Round 22 fixture between Real Madrid (home) and Rayo Vallecano (away) scheduled for February 1, 2026. Real Madrid are heavy favorites despite Rayo Vallecano holding them to a goalless draw in their November meeting.
Recent H2H results: 0-0 draw (November 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Real Madrid.
Real Madrid will likely dominate possession and create numerous chances from wide areas through their fullbacks. Rayo Vallecano will employ compact defensive shape and counter-attacking strategy. Historical h2h data shows 8 of last 9 meetings ended with 2 or fewer goals, suggesting defensive solidity from visiting team despite quality gap.
Real Madrid's dominant home record, superior attacking personnel, and Rayo Vallecano's poor form and low scoring average strongly favor the hosts. However, the previous goalless draw and Rayo's defensive organization prevent a highly confident prediction of large margins.
Stats:
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.65 | 0.35 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.1 | 0.76 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.78 | 0.07 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 16 | 1 | 2 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 2 | 3 | 41 |
| 4 | Atleti | 11 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Celta | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Athletic | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 5 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 | Getafe | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 13 | Girona | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla FC | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 16 | Alavés | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 17 | 18 | 4 |
| F. Torres | FCB | SPA | 18 | 11 | 2 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 18 | 11 | N/A |
| R. Lewandowski | FCB | POL | 16 | 9 | 1 |