Round 28 - La Liga
CD Alaves VS Villarreal CF
Mendizorroza Stadium
15 March, 2026
Overview:
La Liga Round 28 fixture between Deportivo Alavés (home) and Villarreal CF (away) at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal holds superior league position (8th, 53 points) compared to Alavés (10th, 46 points). Historical head-to-head favors neither team significantly with 7 wins each from 17 matches since 2005.
Recent H2H results: Villarreal 3-1 Alavés (January 10, 2026)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Villarreal CF.
Villarreal's possession advantage (56%) poses aerial and passing threats. Alavés relies on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities given lower possession. Villarreal's recent defensive issues suggest Alavés can exploit gaps through direct play. Gerard Moreno substitution impact critical for Villarreal's attacking execution.
Villarreal's superior goal-scoring efficiency (2.0 vs 0.67 average) combined with top-4 league position indicates stronger winning probability despite defensive concerns. Alavés' home advantage limited by recent poor defensive form and last meeting result. Villarreal's 4-win run in last 5 matches outweighs Alavés' defensive improvements.
Last Update: 18-02-2026
Stats:
| CD Alaves | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.44 | 0.56 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 0.67 | 2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.28 | 0.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 20 | 1 | 4 | 61 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 60 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 16 | 3 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Atleti | 14 | 6 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 11 | 9 | 5 | 42 |
| 6 | Celta | 9 | 10 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 |
| 8 | Athletic | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 |
| 11 | Girona | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 |
| 12 | Sevilla FC | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 13 | Getafe | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 14 | Alavés | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 |
| 16 | Valencia | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 |
| 17 | Elche | 5 | 10 | 10 | 25 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 |
| 19 | Levante | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 3 | 8 | 13 | 17 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 23 | 23 | 4 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 24 | 16 | 1 |
| F. Torres | FCB | SPA | 23 | 12 | 2 |
| A. Budimir | OSA | CRO | 24 | 12 | N/A |
