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Round 30 - La Liga

RCD Mallorca VS Real Madrid

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

4 April, 2026

Overview:

RCD Mallorca, 18th in La Liga with 28 points from 7-7-15 record, hosts second-placed Real Madrid (22-3-4, 69 points) in round 30 at Estadi de Son Moix. Real Madrid holds dominant H2H edge and trader consensus at 60.5% win probability amid Barcelona's lead.[1][2]

Recent H2H results: Real Madrid dominant, 17 wins in 22 meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Real Madrid.
Mallorca likely employs compact defensive block to frustrate Madrid's possession game, forcing counters. Real Madrid's high press and wing play via Vinicius will target Mallorca's full-backs amid home crowd pressure.[1]
Madrid's H2H dominance (17/22 wins), superior standings, and player returns outweigh Mallorca's home edge and defensive intent, tilting odds heavily toward away victory despite underdog resilience potential.[1][2]

Last Update: 30-03-2026

Stats:

RCD Mallorca Real Madrid
Expected Possession
42.5 57.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.1 2.6
Win Probability
16.5 60.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Barça 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 22 6 10 72
4 Atleti 21 6 11 69
5 Real Betis 15 15 8 60
6 Celta 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla FC 12 7 19 43
14 Alavés 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 9 14 15 41
20 Real Oviedo 6 11 21 29
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
K. Mbappé RMA FRA 31 25 4
V. Muriqi MAL KOS 37 23 1
A. Budimir OSA CRO 37 17 N/A
F. Torres FCB SPA 35 16 3

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