Overview:

La Liga Round 37 matchup between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal CF, with late-season context increasing tactical caution and result importance.

Recent H2H results: Villarreal leading recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Villarreal CF.
Rayo are likely to defend compactly and seek fast transitions, while Villarreal should control more of the ball and target wide overloads and half-space combinations. Late-round pressure may reduce risk-taking, but Villarreal's technical edge and recent H2H dominance slightly tilt the matchup.
Historical results and stronger attacking metrics favor Villarreal, but Rayo's home resilience keeps the draw in range. The model expects a narrow away advantage with moderate total-goal output.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

Rayo Vallecano	Villarreal CF
Expected Possession
48.6	51.4
Average Goals Per Match
1.15	1.55
Win Probability
30.8	40.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	31	1	6	94
2	Real Madrid	27	5	6	86
3	Villarreal	22	6	10	72
4	Atleti	21	6	11	69
5	Real Betis	15	15	8	60
6	Celta	14	12	12	54
7	Getafe	15	6	17	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	12	14	12	50
9	Valencia	13	10	15	49
10	Real Sociedad	11	13	14	46
11	Espanyol	12	10	16	46
12	Athletic	13	6	19	45
13	Sevilla FC	12	7	19	43
14	Alavés	11	10	17	43
15	Elche	10	13	15	43
16	Levante	11	9	18	42
17	Osasuna	11	9	18	42
18	Mallorca	11	9	18	42
19	Girona	9	14	15	41
20	Real Oviedo	6	11	21	29

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	31	25	4
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	37	23	1
A. Budimir	OSA	CRO	37	17	N/A
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	35	16	3

Rayo Vallecano VS Villarreal CF

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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