Overview:

LaLiga Round 38: Girona FC host Elche CF in a late-season match with both teams close in the lower half of the table. Girona have home advantage at Montilivi, while Elche arrive with slightly better recent standing and a compact, competitive profile. The matchup projects as tight, with limited goal volume and substantial draw risk.

Recent H2H results: Girona edge slightly at home; recent meetings have been closely contested

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Girona FC.
Girona are likely to control more of the ball and attempt to break Elche’s compact block through wide rotations and layered midfield pressure. Elche should stay conservative, absorb pressure, and look for transition chances behind the fullbacks. The match tempo may remain moderate, favoring tactical caution over open exchanges.
Home advantage and slightly better control metrics favor Girona marginally, but Elche’s defensive structure and the expected low-scoring environment increase draw likelihood. Overall edge remains small, with Girona the most probable narrow winner.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

Girona FC	Elche CF
Expected Possession
52.4	47.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.12	1.05
Win Probability
39.8	26.1

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	31	1	6	94
2	Real Madrid	27	5	6	86
3	Villarreal	22	6	10	72
4	Atleti	21	6	11	69
5	Real Betis	15	15	8	60
6	Celta	14	12	12	54
7	Getafe	15	6	17	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	12	14	12	50
9	Valencia	13	10	15	49
10	Real Sociedad	11	13	14	46
11	Espanyol	12	10	16	46
12	Athletic	13	6	19	45
13	Sevilla FC	12	7	19	43
14	Alavés	11	10	17	43
15	Elche	10	13	15	43
16	Levante	11	9	18	42
17	Osasuna	11	9	18	42
18	Mallorca	11	9	18	42
19	Girona	9	14	15	41
20	Real Oviedo	6	11	21	29

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	31	25	4
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	37	23	1
A. Budimir	OSA	CRO	37	17	N/A
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	35	16	3

Girona FC VS Elche CF

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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