Round 16 - Serie A
Inter VS US Lecce
San Siro
14 January, 2026
Overview:
Inter Milan hosts US Lecce in Serie A Round 16 on Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 19:45 UTC. Inter are in exceptional home form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while Lecce are struggling in away matches with only 3 wins in their last 10 (30%). Inter lead Serie A by 26 points and have won 7 of their last 8 matches against Lecce.
Recent H2H results: Inter won 7 of last 8 matches against Lecce
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 3-0 in favor of Inter Milan.
Inter will likely dominate possession and control the tempo against a defensive Lecce side. Inter's attacking threat is expected to drive the match over 2.5 goals. Lecce's defensive vulnerability suggests Inter will capitalize on their superior technical ability and fitness. Both teams rarely see both sides score, indicating solid defensive organization.
Inter's home dominance (80% win rate), significant league position advantage (26 points ahead), superior recent form, and historical head-to-head record strongly favor the hosts. Lecce's poor away record (30% win rate), relegation struggles, and weak attacking output (0.5 goals per away match) severely limit their chances.
Stats:
| Inter | US Lecce |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 62.5 | 37.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.75 | 0.1 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Lecce | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 19 | 10 | 4 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | INT | TUR | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| R. Leão | MIL | POR | 13 | 7 | 1 |
