Round 16 - Premier League
Chelsea FC VS Everton FC
Stamford Bridge
13 December, 2025
Overview:
Stamford Bridge hosts a Premier League clash where Chelsea enter as clear favorites based on superior form, home advantage and recent H2H dominance, while Everton pose a counter-attacking threat that can produce goals on the break; expect Chelsea to control possession and create more high-quality chances but concede transitional opportunities to Everton.
Recent H2H results: Chelsea 1-0 Everton (26 Apr 2025) — Chelsea unbeaten at home vs Everton (30+ matches)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Chelsea.
Chelsea likely to press high, build through central midfield and full-backs to overload flanks; Everton to defend compactly and use direct transitions and set-pieces; in-game adjustments (subbing an extra forward for Everton or a defensive midfielder for Chelsea) will materially shift expected probabilities.
Chelsea's home possession and chance-generation increases their win probability significantly; Everton's counter and set-piece threat raises expected goals against Chelsea, making a narrow Chelsea win or a 2-1 scoreline likeliest rather than a shutout.
Stats:
| Chelsea FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 61.2 | 38.8 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.85 | 1.1 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.63 | 0.17 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 4 | 2 | 49 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Man United | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Fulham | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brighton Hove | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 7 | 6 | 8 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 6 | 8 | 7 | 26 |
| 16 | Leeds United | 5 | 7 | 9 | 22 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 21 | 20 | 4 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 21 | 16 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | BOU | GHA | 20 | 10 | 3 |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | LEE | ENG | 19 | 9 | 1 |
