Round 17 - Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion VS Sunderland AFC
Amex Stadium
20 December, 2025
Overview:
Brighton enter this home fixture having slipped from an earlier top-six challenge into midtable and carrying a short poor run of results, while Sunderland arrive unbeaten in recent league matches and sit above Brighton in the table; the game is likely to be tight with both teams able to create chances, and the model expects goals from both sides with a leaning to a Sunderland edge based on current form and defensive vulnerabilities at Brighton[1][2][3].
Recent H2H results: Brighton 1–0 Sunderland (most recent meeting), overall H2H: Brighton 1 win, Sunderland 0 wins, 1 draw[3].
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Sunderland.
Brighton will try to control tempo through possession and wide overloads while Sunderland will look to exploit transitions and set-piece opportunities; expected midfield battle will decide tempo and final third penetration[1][3].
Brighton's recent defensive lapses and Sunderland's better recent results shift probability toward an away advantage despite Brighton's home possession edge; expected both teams to score reduces outright home-win probability[1][2].
Stats:
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Sunderland AFC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52 | 48 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.3 | 0.38 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 4 | 2 | 49 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Man United | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Fulham | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brighton Hove | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 7 | 6 | 8 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 6 | 8 | 7 | 26 |
| 16 | Leeds United | 5 | 7 | 9 | 22 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 21 | 20 | 4 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 21 | 16 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | BOU | GHA | 20 | 10 | 3 |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | LEE | ENG | 19 | 9 | 1 |
