Round 17 - Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion VS Sunderland AFC
Amex Stadium
20 December, 2025
Overview:
Brighton enter this home fixture having slipped from an earlier top-six challenge into midtable and carrying a short poor run of results, while Sunderland arrive unbeaten in recent league matches and sit above Brighton in the table; the game is likely to be tight with both teams able to create chances, and the model expects goals from both sides with a leaning to a Sunderland edge based on current form and defensive vulnerabilities at Brighton[1][2][3].
Recent H2H results: Brighton 1–0 Sunderland (most recent meeting), overall H2H: Brighton 1 win, Sunderland 0 wins, 1 draw[3].
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Sunderland.
Brighton will try to control tempo through possession and wide overloads while Sunderland will look to exploit transitions and set-piece opportunities; expected midfield battle will decide tempo and final third penetration[1][3].
Brighton's recent defensive lapses and Sunderland's better recent results shift probability toward an away advantage despite Brighton's home possession edge; expected both teams to score reduces outright home-win probability[1][2].
Last Update: 20-12-2025
Stats:
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Sunderland AFC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52 | 48 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.3 | 0.38 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |
