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Round 21 - Premier League

Newcastle United VS Leeds United

St. James' Park

7 January, 2026

Overview:

Newcastle United hosts Leeds United in Premier League Round 21 on January 7, 2026, at St James' Park. Newcastle currently ranks 8th with 29 points from 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while Leeds sits 16th with 22 points from 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. Newcastle have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings.

Recent H2H results: Newcastle 1W, 4D (last 5 meetings)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Newcastle United.
Newcastle likely to dominate possession and territory at home. Leeds expected to adopt defensive approach with counter-attacking focus. Newcastle's aerial advantage and set-piece threat versus Leeds' compact defensive shape. Guimarães and attacking midfielders key to breaking down Leeds' defensive block. Leeds reliant on transitions and quick attacking movements.
Newcastle's unbeaten run, superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Leeds heavily favor the hosts. Leeds' poor away form and defensive weaknesses increase vulnerability. Newcastle's recent goal-scoring form and midfield quality should overcome Leeds' defensive organization. Head-to-head history strongly suggests Newcastle result or draw.

Last Update: 05-01-2026

Stats:

Newcastle United Leeds United
Expected Possession
58.5 41.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.8 0.9
Win Probability
0.68 0.1
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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