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Round 21 - Premier League

Newcastle United VS Leeds United

St. James' Park

7 January, 2026

Overview:

Newcastle United hosts Leeds United in Premier League Round 21 on January 7, 2026, at St James' Park. Newcastle currently ranks 8th with 29 points from 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while Leeds sits 16th with 22 points from 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. Newcastle have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings.

Recent H2H results: Newcastle 1W, 4D (last 5 meetings)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Newcastle United.
Newcastle likely to dominate possession and territory at home. Leeds expected to adopt defensive approach with counter-attacking focus. Newcastle's aerial advantage and set-piece threat versus Leeds' compact defensive shape. Guimarães and attacking midfielders key to breaking down Leeds' defensive block. Leeds reliant on transitions and quick attacking movements.
Newcastle's unbeaten run, superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Leeds heavily favor the hosts. Leeds' poor away form and defensive weaknesses increase vulnerability. Newcastle's recent goal-scoring form and midfield quality should overcome Leeds' defensive organization. Head-to-head history strongly suggests Newcastle result or draw.

Stats:

Newcastle United Leeds United
Expected Possession
58.5 41.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.8 0.9
Win Probability
0.68 0.1
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 15 4 2 49
2 Man City 13 4 4 43
3 Aston Villa 13 4 4 43
4 Liverpool 10 5 6 35
5 Brentford 10 3 8 33
6 Newcastle 9 5 7 32
7 Man United 8 8 5 32
8 Chelsea 8 7 6 31
9 Fulham 9 4 8 31
10 Sunderland 7 9 5 30
11 Brighton Hove 7 8 6 29
12 Everton 8 5 8 29
13 Crystal Palace 7 7 7 28
14 Tottenham 7 6 8 27
15 Bournemouth 6 8 7 26
16 Leeds United 5 7 9 22
17 Nottingham 6 3 12 21
18 West Ham 3 5 13 14
19 Burnley 3 4 14 13
20 Wolverhampton 1 4 16 7
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 21 20 4
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 21 16 1
A. Semenyo BOU GHA 20 10 3
D. Calvert-Lewin LEE ENG 19 9 1

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