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Round 22 - Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion VS AFC Bournemouth

Amex Stadium

19 January, 2026

Overview:

Premier League matchday 22 between Brighton & Hove Albion (home) and AFC Bournemouth (away) scheduled for January 19, 2026 at American Express Stadium. Brighton currently sits in 4th place with 77 points from 46 matches, while Bournemouth occupies 9th place with 66 points from 46 matches.

Recent H2H results: Bournemouth 2-1 Brighton (September 13, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Brighton & Hove Albion.
Brighton's home advantage at American Express Stadium historically favors possession-based football with structured defensive setup. Bournemouth's aggressive counter-attacking style with Semenyo as focal point creates space vulnerabilities. Brighton's superior ground duel success (57.5%) suggests midfield control potential. Bournemouth's penalty-taking threat and set-piece aggression present specific tactical challenges. Brighton's defensive record at home and Bournemouth's away struggles create divergent tactical demands.
Brighton's superior league position (4th vs 9th), home advantage, and significantly better defensive record (43 vs 51 goals conceded) provide substantial predictive weight. However, Bournemouth's direct head-to-head victory and recent aggressive attacking form create uncertainty. Brighton's recent inconsistent form with multiple draws reduces confidence in decisive victory margins. Possession metrics from previous encounter suggest closely contested match despite league position disparity.

Stats:

Brighton & Hove Albion AFC Bournemouth
Expected Possession
48.7 51.3
Average Goals Per Match
1.39 1.22
Win Probability
0.58 0.17
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 15 4 2 49
2 Man City 13 4 4 43
3 Aston Villa 13 4 4 43
4 Liverpool 10 5 6 35
5 Brentford 10 3 8 33
6 Newcastle 9 5 7 32
7 Man United 8 8 5 32
8 Chelsea 8 7 6 31
9 Fulham 9 4 8 31
10 Sunderland 7 9 5 30
11 Brighton Hove 7 8 6 29
12 Everton 8 5 8 29
13 Crystal Palace 7 7 7 28
14 Tottenham 7 6 8 27
15 Bournemouth 6 8 7 26
16 Leeds United 5 7 9 22
17 Nottingham 6 3 12 21
18 West Ham 3 5 13 14
19 Burnley 3 4 14 13
20 Wolverhampton 1 4 16 7
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 21 20 4
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 21 16 1
A. Semenyo BOU GHA 20 10 3
D. Calvert-Lewin LEE ENG 19 9 1

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