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Round 23 - Premier League

AFC Bournemouth VS Liverpool FC

Vitality Stadium

24 January, 2026

Overview:

Liverpool travel to Bournemouth on Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 12:30 PM ET, with the Reds seeking their first Premier League victory of 2026 while on a 10-game unbeaten run. Bournemouth have won just once in their last 14 matches across all competitions and are significantly underperforming this season.

Recent H2H results: Liverpool won 4-2 on opening day of season

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Liverpool.
Liverpool's second-half dominance with 69.7 percent of goals after halftime contrasts sharply with Bournemouth's 48.6 percent, suggesting Slot's side will likely control possession but face a compact mid-block defense. Iraola's tactical philosophy favoids pure low-block containment, potentially creating space for Liverpool's attacking players. Salah's return bolsters Liverpool's wide attack threat. Bournemouth's numerical weakness from Semenyo absence directly impacts their ability to generate offensive transitions. Liverpool's traditional struggles against defensive structures may be mitigated by Bournemouth's more aggressive setup.
Liverpool's unbeaten streak and historical dominance against Bournemouth significantly favor the away team despite domestic inconsistency. Bournemouth's form collapse and loss of their leading secondary scorer substantially weakens their competitive capacity. The Opta Supercomputer assigns 43.7 percent win probability to Liverpool versus 31.1 percent for Bournemouth. Liverpool's second-half proficiency combined with Bournemouth's weak opening periods suggests a pattern favorable to the visitors' match script.

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

AFC Bournemouth Liverpool FC
Expected Possession
46.1 61.2
Average Goals Per Match
1.5 1.5
Win Probability
0.311 0.437
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 18 7 3 61
2 Man City 17 5 5 56
3 Aston Villa 15 6 6 51
4 Man United 13 9 5 48
5 Chelsea 12 9 6 45
6 Liverpool 13 6 8 45
7 Brentford 12 4 11 40
8 Bournemouth 9 11 7 38
9 Everton 10 7 10 37
10 Fulham 11 4 12 37
11 Newcastle 10 6 11 36
12 Sunderland 9 9 9 36
13 Crystal Palace 9 8 10 35
14 Brighton Hove 8 10 9 34
15 Leeds United 7 10 10 31
16 Tottenham 7 8 12 29
17 Nottingham 7 6 14 27
18 West Ham 6 7 14 25
19 Burnley 4 7 16 19
20 Wolverhampton 1 7 20 10
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 27 22 7
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 27 17 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 26 13 4
J. Pedro CHE BRA 27 11 4

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