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Round 23 - Premier League

AFC Bournemouth VS Liverpool FC

Vitality Stadium

24 January, 2026

Overview:

Liverpool travel to Bournemouth on Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 12:30 PM ET, with the Reds seeking their first Premier League victory of 2026 while on a 10-game unbeaten run. Bournemouth have won just once in their last 14 matches across all competitions and are significantly underperforming this season.

Recent H2H results: Liverpool won 4-2 on opening day of season

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Liverpool.
Liverpool's second-half dominance with 69.7 percent of goals after halftime contrasts sharply with Bournemouth's 48.6 percent, suggesting Slot's side will likely control possession but face a compact mid-block defense. Iraola's tactical philosophy favoids pure low-block containment, potentially creating space for Liverpool's attacking players. Salah's return bolsters Liverpool's wide attack threat. Bournemouth's numerical weakness from Semenyo absence directly impacts their ability to generate offensive transitions. Liverpool's traditional struggles against defensive structures may be mitigated by Bournemouth's more aggressive setup.
Liverpool's unbeaten streak and historical dominance against Bournemouth significantly favor the away team despite domestic inconsistency. Bournemouth's form collapse and loss of their leading secondary scorer substantially weakens their competitive capacity. The Opta Supercomputer assigns 43.7 percent win probability to Liverpool versus 31.1 percent for Bournemouth. Liverpool's second-half proficiency combined with Bournemouth's weak opening periods suggests a pattern favorable to the visitors' match script.

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

AFC Bournemouth Liverpool FC
Expected Possession
46.1 61.2
Average Goals Per Match
1.5 1.5
Win Probability
0.311 0.437
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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