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Round 23 - Premier League

Arsenal FC VS Manchester United

Emirates Stadium

25 January, 2026

Overview:

Arsenal, leading the Premier League by seven points, host fifth-placed Manchester United at the Emirates in round 23. Arsenal are unbeaten at home this season and dominant in recent H2H, while United arrive boosted by a derby win over City under interim boss Carrick.[1][2]

Recent H2H results: Arsenal 1-0 Man Utd (Aug 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Arsenal FC.
Arsenal's 4-3-3 emphasizes territorial control and counter-pressing; United likely counter-attacks with low possession as in derby win (31.8% poss, high xG).[2][7]
Arsenal's home dominance, H2H edge (4 straight PL home wins vs Utd), and 71.3% Opta win probability outweigh United's recent form boost.[2][3]

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Arsenal FC Manchester United
Expected Possession
62.5 37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.1 1.4
Win Probability
71.3 8.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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