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Round 23 - Premier League

Arsenal FC VS Manchester United

Emirates Stadium

25 January, 2026

Overview:

Arsenal, leading the Premier League by seven points, host fifth-placed Manchester United at the Emirates in round 23. Arsenal are unbeaten at home this season and dominant in recent H2H, while United arrive boosted by a derby win over City under interim boss Carrick.[1][2]

Recent H2H results: Arsenal 1-0 Man Utd (Aug 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Arsenal FC.
Arsenal's 4-3-3 emphasizes territorial control and counter-pressing; United likely counter-attacks with low possession as in derby win (31.8% poss, high xG).[2][7]
Arsenal's home dominance, H2H edge (4 straight PL home wins vs Utd), and 71.3% Opta win probability outweigh United's recent form boost.[2][3]

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Arsenal FC Manchester United
Expected Possession
62.5 37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.1 1.4
Win Probability
71.3 8.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 21 7 4 70
2 Man City 19 7 5 64
3 Man United 15 10 6 55
4 Aston Villa 16 7 9 55
5 Liverpool 15 7 10 52
6 Chelsea 13 9 10 48
7 Brentford 13 8 11 47
8 Everton 13 8 11 47
9 Brighton Hove 12 10 10 46
10 Sunderland 12 10 10 46
11 Bournemouth 10 15 7 45
12 Fulham 13 5 14 44
13 Crystal Palace 11 9 11 42
14 Newcastle 12 6 14 42
15 Leeds United 7 12 12 33
16 Nottingham 8 9 15 33
17 West Ham 8 8 16 32
18 Tottenham 7 9 16 30
19 Burnley 4 8 20 20
20 Wolverhampton 3 8 21 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 30 22 7
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 32 21 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 30 15 4
J. Pedro CHE BRA 32 14 5

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