Overview:

Arsenal, leading the Premier League by seven points, host fifth-placed Manchester United at the Emirates in round 23. Arsenal are unbeaten at home this season and dominant in recent H2H, while United arrive boosted by a derby win over City under interim boss Carrick.[1][2]

Recent H2H results: Arsenal 1-0 Man Utd (Aug 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Arsenal FC.
Arsenal's 4-3-3 emphasizes territorial control and counter-pressing; United likely counter-attacks with low possession as in derby win (31.8% poss, high xG).[2][7]
Arsenal's home dominance, H2H edge (4 straight PL home wins vs Utd), and 71.3% Opta win probability outweigh United's recent form boost.[2][3]

Last Update: 23-01-2026

Stats:

Arsenal FC	Manchester United
Expected Possession
62.5	37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.1	1.4
Win Probability
71.3	8.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Arsenal	18	7	3	61
2	Man City	17	5	5	56
3	Aston Villa	15	6	6	51
4	Man United	13	9	5	48
5	Chelsea	12	9	6	45
6	Liverpool	13	6	8	45
7	Brentford	12	4	11	40
8	Bournemouth	9	11	7	38
9	Everton	10	7	10	37
10	Fulham	11	4	12	37
11	Newcastle	10	6	11	36
12	Sunderland	9	9	9	36
13	Crystal Palace	9	8	10	35
14	Brighton Hove	8	10	9	34
15	Leeds United	7	10	10	31
16	Tottenham	7	8	12	29
17	Nottingham	7	6	14	27
18	West Ham	6	7	14	25
19	Burnley	4	7	16	19
20	Wolverhampton	1	7	20	10

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
E. Haaland	MCI	NOR	27	22	7
T. Rodrigues	BRE	BRA	27	17	1
A. Semenyo	MCI	GHA	26	13	4
J. Pedro	CHE	BRA	27	11	4

Arsenal FC VS Manchester United

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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