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Round 25 - Premier League

Arsenal FC VS Sunderland AFC

Emirates Stadium

7 February, 2026

Overview:

Arsenal hosts Sunderland at Emirates Stadium in Premier League Round 25. Arsenal leads the table with 53 points from 24 matches, while Sunderland sits eighth with 36 points. Arsenal are overwhelming favorites with a 79.6% win probability according to the Opta supercomputer.

Recent H2H results: 2-2 draw on November 8, 2025

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 3-1 in favor of Arsenal.
Arsenal's set-piece dominance and possession control will likely overwhelm Sunderland's defensive setup. Sunderland's defensive solidity and draw capability from reverse fixture suggests they can frustrate Arsenal early, but Arsenal's superior form and home advantage strongly favor the Gunners. Arsenal's aerial threat combined with Sunderland's vulnerability to direct play creates a significant tactical mismatch.
Arsenal's 18-match unbeaten home record against Sunderland, current title-challenging position, recent 4-0 away win demonstrating form, and 79.6% Opta supercomputer win probability heavily favor a home victory. However, Sunderland's proven ability to draw (2-2 in reverse fixture) and maintain their home unbeaten streak in promoted team context adds uncertainty.

Last Update: 06-02-2026

Stats:

Arsenal FC Sunderland AFC
Expected Possession
0.65 0.35
Average Goals Per Match
1.9 1.1
Win Probability
0.796 0.054
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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