Round 26 - Premier League
Aston Villa VS Brighton & Hove Albion
Villa Park
11 February, 2026
Overview:
Aston Villa (3rd, 43 pts) hosts Brighton (12th, 30 pts) in Premier League Round 26. Villa consolidates top-four position with superior form and recent head-to-head advantage, while Brighton seeks consistency after mixed performances.
Recent H2H results: Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa (Dec 3, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Aston Villa.
Villa's superior possession and xG advantage suggest control-based dominance. Brighton's 56% recent possession indicates pressure-resistant tactics but insufficient penetration. Villa's home advantage combined with psychological edge from 3-4 comeback creates formidable obstacle. Brighton requires defensive compactness to exploit Villa's occasional lapses while maximizing counter-attacking opportunities.
Historical h2h record favors Villa (9 wins vs 2), recent direct encounter victory, superior league position (3rd vs 12th), better goal differential (+8 vs +3), and consistent home dominance at Villa Park. Brighton's draw tendency (38.1%) could provide alternative outcome. Villa's elite attacking output (33 goals) versus Brighton's defensive limitations represents critical differential.
Last Update: 22-01-2026
Stats:
| Aston Villa | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58 | 42 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.68 | 0.13 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |
