Round 26 - Premier League
Aston Villa VS Brighton & Hove Albion
Villa Park
11 February, 2026
Overview:
Aston Villa (3rd, 43 pts) hosts Brighton (12th, 30 pts) in Premier League Round 26. Villa consolidates top-four position with superior form and recent head-to-head advantage, while Brighton seeks consistency after mixed performances.
Recent H2H results: Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa (Dec 3, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Aston Villa.
Villa's superior possession and xG advantage suggest control-based dominance. Brighton's 56% recent possession indicates pressure-resistant tactics but insufficient penetration. Villa's home advantage combined with psychological edge from 3-4 comeback creates formidable obstacle. Brighton requires defensive compactness to exploit Villa's occasional lapses while maximizing counter-attacking opportunities.
Historical h2h record favors Villa (9 wins vs 2), recent direct encounter victory, superior league position (3rd vs 12th), better goal differential (+8 vs +3), and consistent home dominance at Villa Park. Brighton's draw tendency (38.1%) could provide alternative outcome. Villa's elite attacking output (33 goals) versus Brighton's defensive limitations represents critical differential.
Last Update: 22-01-2026
Stats:
| Aston Villa | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58 | 42 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.68 | 0.13 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 18 | 7 | 3 | 61 |
| 2 | Man City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 56 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 6 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Man United | 13 | 9 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 12 | 9 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 12 | 4 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 11 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Everton | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37 |
| 10 | Fulham | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 8 | 10 | 35 |
| 14 | Brighton Hove | 8 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 | Leeds United | 7 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 7 | 20 | 10 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 27 | 22 | 7 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 27 | 17 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 26 | 13 | 4 |
| J. Pedro | CHE | BRA | 27 | 11 | 4 |
