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Round 27 - Premier League

Chelsea FC VS Burnley FC

Stamford Bridge

21 February, 2026

Overview:

Chelsea host Burnley in Premier League Round 27 at Stamford Bridge on February 21, 2026. Chelsea are fifth with 44 points from 26 matches, while Burnley are 18th with 18 points from 26 matches, nine points from safety.

Recent H2H results: Chelsea undefeated in last 12 matches against Burnley in all competitions

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Chelsea.
Chelsea's high possession approach (537.4 passes per game) versus Burnley's defensive setup will dominate match control. Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities (2.0 goals conceded per game) expose them to Chelsea's multi-pronged attack led by João Pedro and Cole Palmer. Chelsea's unbeaten 12-match record against Burnley provides psychological advantage. Burnley's need for points may force attacking approach, creating counter-attacking opportunities for Chelsea.
Chelsea's dominant historical record, superior current form, and home advantage strongly favor Chelsea. Burnley's relegation struggle and poor away record (9 defeats in 13 away games) severely limit their prospects. Chelsea's 50 percent home win rate prevents maximum confidence, but structural advantages overwhelmingly favor the home team.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

Chelsea FC Burnley FC
Expected Possession
0.586 0.414
Average Goals Per Match
1.808 1.077
Win Probability
0.78 0.07
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 21 7 4 70
2 Man City 19 7 5 64
3 Man United 15 10 6 55
4 Aston Villa 16 7 9 55
5 Liverpool 15 7 10 52
6 Chelsea 13 9 10 48
7 Brentford 13 8 11 47
8 Everton 13 8 11 47
9 Brighton Hove 12 10 10 46
10 Sunderland 12 10 10 46
11 Bournemouth 10 15 7 45
12 Fulham 13 5 14 44
13 Crystal Palace 11 9 11 42
14 Newcastle 12 6 14 42
15 Leeds United 7 12 12 33
16 Nottingham 8 9 15 33
17 West Ham 8 8 16 32
18 Tottenham 7 9 16 30
19 Burnley 4 8 20 20
20 Wolverhampton 3 8 21 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 30 22 7
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 32 21 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 30 15 4
J. Pedro CHE BRA 32 14 5

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