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Round 27 - Premier League

Chelsea FC VS Burnley FC

Stamford Bridge

21 February, 2026

Overview:

Chelsea host Burnley in Premier League Round 27 at Stamford Bridge on February 21, 2026. Chelsea are fifth with 44 points from 26 matches, while Burnley are 18th with 18 points from 26 matches, nine points from safety.

Recent H2H results: Chelsea undefeated in last 12 matches against Burnley in all competitions

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Chelsea.
Chelsea's high possession approach (537.4 passes per game) versus Burnley's defensive setup will dominate match control. Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities (2.0 goals conceded per game) expose them to Chelsea's multi-pronged attack led by João Pedro and Cole Palmer. Chelsea's unbeaten 12-match record against Burnley provides psychological advantage. Burnley's need for points may force attacking approach, creating counter-attacking opportunities for Chelsea.
Chelsea's dominant historical record, superior current form, and home advantage strongly favor Chelsea. Burnley's relegation struggle and poor away record (9 defeats in 13 away games) severely limit their prospects. Chelsea's 50 percent home win rate prevents maximum confidence, but structural advantages overwhelmingly favor the home team.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

Chelsea FC Burnley FC
Expected Possession
0.586 0.414
Average Goals Per Match
1.808 1.077
Win Probability
0.78 0.07
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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