Round 28 - Premier League
Arsenal FC VS Chelsea FC
Emirates Stadium
1 March, 2026
Overview:
Arsenal vs Chelsea, Premier League Round 28 at Emirates Stadium on March 1, 2026. Arsenal are title contenders in first place with 61 points from 28 matches, while Chelsea sit fifth with 45 points from 27 matches. This is a crucial London derby with significant implications for both teams' campaigns.
Recent H2H results: Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea (November 30, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Arsenal.
Arsenal's dominance at home combined with Chelsea's poor record against them suggests Arsenal will control possession and tempo. Arsenal's three consecutive clean sheets indicate defensive solidity. Chelsea must break down Arsenal's organized defense and capitalize on limited opportunities. Gabriel Jesus' unbeaten record when scoring (59 wins, 5 draws) provides Arsenal psychological advantage.
Arsenal's overwhelming statistical advantage in head-to-head record, current form, home advantage, and tactical superiority heavily favors the home team. Chelsea's injury concerns and winless streak against Arsenal compound their difficulties. Opta supercomputer modeling reflects these factors in strong Arsenal prediction probability.
Last Update: 28-02-2026
Stats:
| Arsenal FC | Chelsea FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58.5 | 41.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.04 | 1.78 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.628 | 0.174 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 18 | 7 | 3 | 61 |
| 2 | Man City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 56 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 6 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Man United | 13 | 9 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 12 | 9 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 12 | 4 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 11 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Everton | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37 |
| 10 | Fulham | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 8 | 10 | 35 |
| 14 | Brighton Hove | 8 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 | Leeds United | 7 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 7 | 20 | 10 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 27 | 22 | 7 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 27 | 17 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 26 | 13 | 4 |
| J. Pedro | CHE | BRA | 27 | 11 | 4 |
