Round 37 - Premier League
Leeds United VS Brighton & Hove Albion
Elland Road
17 May, 2026
Overview:
Premier League Round 37 meeting between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion projects as a competitive but Brighton-leaning fixture, with Brighton carrying the stronger underlying chance creation, better recent attacking metrics, and slightly higher tactical stability away from home.
Recent H2H results: Brighton slight edge in recent meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Brighton & Hove Albion.
Brighton are expected to control more of the ball, progress through the wings, and generate higher xG through structured attacks. Leeds should look to disrupt rhythm with pressing and direct transitions, but their defensive response to Brighton's width is a concern. The match profile favors chances at both ends, though Brighton's overall control slightly improves their win outlook.
Brighton's stronger current form, better attacking efficiency, and more stable chance creation tilt the model toward an away win, while Leeds' home advantage keeps draw risk meaningful.
Last Update: 15-05-2026
Stats:
| Leeds United | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.2 | 51.8 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.18 | 1.56 |
| Win Probability | |
| 26.4 | 46.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |
