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Round 37 - Premier League

Newcastle United VS West Ham United

St. James' Park

17 May, 2026

Overview:

Premier League Round 37 matchup between Newcastle United and West Ham United projects as a home-leaning contest with Newcastle holding the edge in venue advantage, recent tactical stability, and stronger chance creation at home. West Ham remain capable of disrupting rhythm through transition play and set pieces, but their away profile suggests inconsistency against higher-intensity opponents. The balance of evidence points to Newcastle controlling more of the game and generating the better chances overall.

Recent H2H results: Newcastle slight edge in recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Newcastle United.
Newcastle are likely to push territory early, using fullbacks and wide rotations to stretch West Ham's defensive block. West Ham may sit deeper and look to break through direct passes and second-ball opportunities. The key battle is Newcastle's press versus West Ham's outlet quality, with set pieces also potentially decisive.
Historical indicators and current form both favor Newcastle, while the home advantage increases their win likelihood. West Ham's main route to a positive result is a low-scoring match with efficient conversion of limited chances, but the overall model still leans to a Newcastle victory.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

Newcastle United West Ham United
Expected Possession
56.4 43.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.82 1.21
Win Probability
46.2 29.8
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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