Round 38 - Premier League
Manchester City VS Aston Villa
Etihad Stadium
24 May, 2026
Overview:
Manchester City host Aston Villa in a Premier League Round 38 fixture with City expected to control possession and territory. Available public previews and bookmaker-style indicators strongly lean toward a home win, though the final-day context can increase variance. City’s deeper squad, home advantage, and superior chance creation profile give them the edge.
Recent H2H results: Manchester City advantage in recent meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Manchester City.
Manchester City are likely to dominate the ball, pin Aston Villa back, and attack through sustained buildup and wide overloads. Aston Villa’s best route is compact defending followed by quick counters into space behind the full-backs. Set pieces and early goals could materially alter the game state.
City’s home dominance, stronger form indicators, and superior control metrics outweigh Villa’s counterattacking threat. If City score first, the match should open up in their favor; if Villa resist early pressure, a draw remains possible but less likely.
Last Update: 21-05-2026
Stats:
| Manchester City | Aston Villa |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 64 | 36 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Win Probability | |
| 59 | 20 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |