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Round 38 - Premier League

Manchester City VS Aston Villa

Etihad Stadium

24 May, 2026

Overview:

Manchester City host Aston Villa in a Premier League Round 38 fixture with City expected to control possession and territory. Available public previews and bookmaker-style indicators strongly lean toward a home win, though the final-day context can increase variance. City’s deeper squad, home advantage, and superior chance creation profile give them the edge.

Recent H2H results: Manchester City advantage in recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Manchester City.
Manchester City are likely to dominate the ball, pin Aston Villa back, and attack through sustained buildup and wide overloads. Aston Villa’s best route is compact defending followed by quick counters into space behind the full-backs. Set pieces and early goals could materially alter the game state.
City’s home dominance, stronger form indicators, and superior control metrics outweigh Villa’s counterattacking threat. If City score first, the match should open up in their favor; if Villa resist early pressure, a draw remains possible but less likely.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

Manchester City Aston Villa
Expected Possession
64 36
Average Goals Per Match
2.1 1.1
Win Probability
59 20
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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