Round 14 - Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille VS Toulouse FC
Stade Vélodrome
29 November, 2025
Overview:
Olympique de Marseille (2nd place, 52 pts) hosts Toulouse FC (10th place, 34 pts) in Ligue 1 Round 14 at Orange Vélodrome. Marseille dominates the head-to-head record with 24 wins, 18 draws, and 7 losses across 49 matches. Marseille are undefeated in their last 25 matches against Toulouse in all competitions.
Recent H2H results: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse (April 6, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Marseille.
Marseille's dominant possession (69%) and home advantage will likely limit Toulouse's attacking opportunities. Greenwood's offensive form versus Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities away from home creates a significant mismatch. Toulouse may rely on set-piece opportunities given their penalty record.
Marseille''s undefeated 25-match streak against Toulouse combined with their superior home record, current league position, and attacking form heavily favor the hosts. Toulouse''s poor away record and recent lack of wins significantly diminish their chances despite occasional set-piece threats.
Stats:
| Olympique de Marseille | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.69 | 0.31 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.83 | 0.6 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.78 | 0.07 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Lens | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| 2 | PSG | 12 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 8 | 6 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers SCO | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 17 | 11 | 4 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 17 | 10 | N/A |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 17 | 9 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 17 | 7 | 2 |
