All predictions, forecasts, and information provided on GoalOverflow.com are for entertainment and informational purposes only

Round 14 - Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille VS Toulouse FC

Stade Vélodrome

29 November, 2025

Overview:

Olympique de Marseille (2nd place, 52 pts) hosts Toulouse FC (10th place, 34 pts) in Ligue 1 Round 14 at Orange Vélodrome. Marseille dominates the head-to-head record with 24 wins, 18 draws, and 7 losses across 49 matches. Marseille are undefeated in their last 25 matches against Toulouse in all competitions.

Recent H2H results: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse (April 6, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Marseille.
Marseille's dominant possession (69%) and home advantage will likely limit Toulouse's attacking opportunities. Greenwood's offensive form versus Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities away from home creates a significant mismatch. Toulouse may rely on set-piece opportunities given their penalty record.
Marseille''s undefeated 25-match streak against Toulouse combined with their superior home record, current league position, and attacking form heavily favor the hosts. Toulouse''s poor away record and recent lack of wins significantly diminish their chances despite occasional set-piece threats.

Last Update: 28-11-2025

Stats:

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
0.69 0.31
Average Goals Per Match
1.83 0.6
Win Probability
0.78 0.07
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 18 3 3 57
2 RC Lens 17 2 5 53
3 Olympique Lyon 14 3 7 45
4 Marseille 13 4 7 43
5 Lille 12 4 8 40
6 Stade Rennais 11 7 6 40
7 Monaco 11 4 9 37
8 Strasbourg 10 5 9 35
9 Brest 9 6 9 33
10 Lorient 8 9 7 33
11 Toulouse 8 7 9 31
12 Angers SCO 8 5 11 29
13 Le Havre 6 8 10 26
14 Paris FC 6 8 10 26
15 Nice 6 6 12 24
16 Auxerre 4 6 14 18
17 Nantes 4 5 15 17
18 FC Metz 3 4 17 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 24 14 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 24 14 5
E. Lepaul REN FRA 24 12 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 23 10 2

Enjoy Our Free Sports Tips?

Support Us with a Donation to Keep the Website Alive and Growing!

Donate to GoalOverflow football predictions - banner with woman and soccer ball