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Round 15 - Ligue 1

Lille OSC VS Olympique de Marseille

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

5 December, 2025

Overview:

Lille OSC hosts Olympique de Marseille in a high-stakes Ligue 1 round 15 clash, with Marseille currently 2nd and Lille 5th. Marseille is on a strong unbeaten run with superior recent away performance and goal-scoring form. Lille has a solid home record but faces a tough challenge from Marseille's attacking prowess.

Recent H2H results: Last 5 matches: 2W Lille, 1D, 2W Marseille

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Olympique de Marseille.
Lille likely to adopt a balanced approach with emphasis on structured defense and quick transitions; Marseille expected to control midfield possession and leverage attacking width to exploit gaps
Marseille's superior recent form and attacking record raise their winning probability despite Lille's home advantage. Tactical battle in midfield and Lille's defensive resilience will be crucial to contain Marseille's offense.

Stats:

Lille OSC Olympique de Marseille
Expected Possession
52.3 47.7
Average Goals Per Match
1.25 2.63
Win Probability
0.28 0.45
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 RC Lens 13 1 3 40
2 PSG 12 3 2 39
3 Marseille 10 2 5 32
4 Lille 10 2 5 32
5 Olympique Lyon 9 3 5 30
6 Stade Rennais 8 6 3 30
7 Strasbourg 7 3 7 24
8 Toulouse 6 5 6 23
9 Monaco 7 2 8 23
10 Angers SCO 6 4 7 22
11 Brest 6 4 7 22
12 Lorient 4 7 6 19
13 Le Havre 4 6 7 18
14 Nice 5 3 9 18
15 Paris FC 4 4 9 16
16 Nantes 3 5 9 14
17 Auxerre 3 3 11 12
18 FC Metz 3 3 11 12
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 17 11 4
J. Panichelli RC ARG 17 10 N/A
E. Lepaul REN FRA 17 9 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 17 7 2

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