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Round 15 - Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain VS Stade Rennais

Parc des Princes

6 December, 2025

Overview:

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG), sitting at the top of Ligue 1, face Stade Rennais in Round 15 at Parc des Princes. PSG demonstrate superior recent form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and showing strong attacking efficiency with an average of 3.8 goals per match. Rennes, placed 5th, displays resilience with a balanced record but scores fewer goals (1.6 average) and concedes more (2.2 average). PSG’s defensive solidity contrasts with Rennes' vulnerability at the back. Head-to-head history favors PSG significantly with 23 wins in the last 45 encounters and dominant recent results, suggesting PSG’s advantage given home conditions.

Recent H2H results: PSG 4-1 Rennes (Mar 8, 2025), PSG 3-1 Rennes (Sep 27, 2024)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 3-1 in favor of Paris Saint-Germain.
PSG likely to dominate possession and control tempo, exploiting wide areas and set pieces; Rennes to rely on counter-attacks and pressing high line to disrupt PSG’s flow, but may struggle breaking PSG's organized defense.
PSG’s home advantage and superior stats strongly favor a home win; Rennes’ sporadic form and defensive frailties reduce their chances despite tactical efforts.

Stats:

Paris Saint-Germain Stade Rennais
Expected Possession
62.5 37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.08 1.77
Win Probability
0.68 0.14
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 RC Lens 13 1 3 40
2 PSG 12 3 2 39
3 Marseille 10 2 5 32
4 Lille 10 2 5 32
5 Olympique Lyon 9 3 5 30
6 Stade Rennais 8 6 3 30
7 Strasbourg 7 3 7 24
8 Toulouse 6 5 6 23
9 Monaco 7 2 8 23
10 Angers SCO 6 4 7 22
11 Brest 6 4 7 22
12 Lorient 4 7 6 19
13 Le Havre 4 6 7 18
14 Nice 5 3 9 18
15 Paris FC 4 4 9 16
16 Nantes 3 5 9 14
17 Auxerre 3 3 11 12
18 FC Metz 3 3 11 12
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 17 11 4
J. Panichelli RC ARG 17 10 N/A
E. Lepaul REN FRA 17 9 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 17 7 2

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