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Round 16 - Ligue 1

Paris FC VS Toulouse FC

Stade Charléty

13 December, 2025

Overview:

Tight Ligue 1 encounter at Stade Jean Bouin where Toulouse arrive as the steadier mid-table side while Paris FC struggle for consistent scoring; both teams have recently produced low-scoring league games, suggesting a competitive, low-to-medium scoring match with marginal advantage to Toulouse based on form and defense metrics.

Recent H2H results: Several recent meetings saw multiple goals; 5 of last 6 over 2.5 goals

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Toulouse.
Paris FC likely to attempt controlled build-up and exploit wide areas but may lack finishing; Toulouse expected to sit slightly deeper, absorb pressure, and use quick vertical transitions and set-pieces to create chances.
Paris FC's poor scoring run lowers win expectancy despite home advantage while Toulouse's defensive cohesion and recent results increase their probability of avoiding defeat; H2H history of higher-scoring games nudges expected scoreline toward a 1-1 or 1-2 range.

Last Update: 13-12-2025

Stats:

Paris FC Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
48.5 51.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.07 1.4
Win Probability
0.28 0.36
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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