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Round 16 - Ligue 1

Paris FC VS Toulouse FC

Stade Charléty

13 December, 2025

Overview:

Tight Ligue 1 encounter at Stade Jean Bouin where Toulouse arrive as the steadier mid-table side while Paris FC struggle for consistent scoring; both teams have recently produced low-scoring league games, suggesting a competitive, low-to-medium scoring match with marginal advantage to Toulouse based on form and defense metrics.

Recent H2H results: Several recent meetings saw multiple goals; 5 of last 6 over 2.5 goals

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Toulouse.
Paris FC likely to attempt controlled build-up and exploit wide areas but may lack finishing; Toulouse expected to sit slightly deeper, absorb pressure, and use quick vertical transitions and set-pieces to create chances.
Paris FC's poor scoring run lowers win expectancy despite home advantage while Toulouse's defensive cohesion and recent results increase their probability of avoiding defeat; H2H history of higher-scoring games nudges expected scoreline toward a 1-1 or 1-2 range.

Last Update: 13-12-2025

Stats:

Paris FC Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
48.5 51.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.07 1.4
Win Probability
0.28 0.36
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 20 3 4 63
2 RC Lens 19 2 7 59
3 Lille 16 5 8 53
4 Marseille 16 4 9 52
5 Olympique Lyon 15 6 8 51
6 Stade Rennais 14 8 7 50
7 Monaco 15 4 10 49
8 Strasbourg 12 7 9 43
9 Lorient 9 11 9 38
10 Toulouse 10 7 12 37
11 Brest 10 6 12 36
12 Paris FC 8 11 10 35
13 Angers SCO 9 6 14 33
14 Le Havre 6 11 12 29
15 Nice 7 7 15 28
16 Auxerre 5 9 15 24
17 Nantes 4 7 17 19
18 FC Metz 3 6 20 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 29 16 3
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 28 15 7
O. Edouard RCL FRA 24 12 3

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