Round 16 - Ligue 1
Paris FC VS Toulouse FC
Stade Charléty
13 December, 2025
Overview:
Tight Ligue 1 encounter at Stade Jean Bouin where Toulouse arrive as the steadier mid-table side while Paris FC struggle for consistent scoring; both teams have recently produced low-scoring league games, suggesting a competitive, low-to-medium scoring match with marginal advantage to Toulouse based on form and defense metrics.
Recent H2H results: Several recent meetings saw multiple goals; 5 of last 6 over 2.5 goals
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Toulouse.
Paris FC likely to attempt controlled build-up and exploit wide areas but may lack finishing; Toulouse expected to sit slightly deeper, absorb pressure, and use quick vertical transitions and set-pieces to create chances.
Paris FC's poor scoring run lowers win expectancy despite home advantage while Toulouse's defensive cohesion and recent results increase their probability of avoiding defeat; H2H history of higher-scoring games nudges expected scoreline toward a 1-1 or 1-2 range.
Stats:
| Paris FC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.5 | 51.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.07 | 1.4 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Lens | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| 2 | PSG | 12 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 8 | 6 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers SCO | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 17 | 11 | 4 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 17 | 10 | N/A |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 17 | 9 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 17 | 7 | 2 |