Round 16 - Ligue 1
Paris FC VS Toulouse FC
Stade Charléty
13 December, 2025
Overview:
Tight Ligue 1 encounter at Stade Jean Bouin where Toulouse arrive as the steadier mid-table side while Paris FC struggle for consistent scoring; both teams have recently produced low-scoring league games, suggesting a competitive, low-to-medium scoring match with marginal advantage to Toulouse based on form and defense metrics.
Recent H2H results: Several recent meetings saw multiple goals; 5 of last 6 over 2.5 goals
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Toulouse.
Paris FC likely to attempt controlled build-up and exploit wide areas but may lack finishing; Toulouse expected to sit slightly deeper, absorb pressure, and use quick vertical transitions and set-pieces to create chances.
Paris FC's poor scoring run lowers win expectancy despite home advantage while Toulouse's defensive cohesion and recent results increase their probability of avoiding defeat; H2H history of higher-scoring games nudges expected scoreline toward a 1-1 or 1-2 range.
Last Update: 13-12-2025
Stats:
| Paris FC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.5 | 51.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.07 | 1.4 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 4 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyon | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 8 | 23 | 17 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 34 | 21 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 27 | 16 | 1 |
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 33 | 16 | 8 |
| L. Sinayoko | AJA | MAL | 32 | 13 | 4 |