Round 21 - Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain VS Olympique de Marseille
Parc des Princes
9 February, 2026
Overview:
Ligue 1 Round 21 matchup between PSG (home) and Marseille (away). PSG dominates historical head-to-head with 30 wins in 49 meetings versus Marseille's 11 wins. Recent form shows PSG won last four Ligue 1 matches with three away victories. Marseille has won 6 of last 9 matches overall with strong home record (4 wins from 4 home matches). This represents a competitive fixture despite PSG's historical advantage.
Recent H2H results: Marseille 1-0 PSG (Sept 22, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Paris Saint-Germain.
PSG's possession dominance (68 percent) versus Marseille's counter-attacking strategy creates central tactical tension. PSG's goal-scoring efficiency of 2.11 per match against Marseille's defensive vulnerabilities suggests PSG attacking opportunities. However, Marseille's recent psychological advantage from Sept 2025 victory and higher average goals (2.44) indicates potential for exploiting PSG defensive gaps. Home advantage favors PSG with established possession and pressing tactics.
PSG's four-match winning streak, home advantage, and historical dominance (30-11 H2H record) significantly favor home victory. Marseille's recent form improvement (6 wins in 9 matches) and demonstrated ability to defeat PSG (1-0 Sept 2025) provides away team credibility. PSG's defensive concerns (0.89 goals against average) against Marseille's higher scoring output creates competitive balance. Recent momentum and tactical adjustments favor PSG, but Marseille's improved form and psychological advantage warrant meaningful away win probability.
Stats:
| Paris Saint-Germain | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 68 | 32 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.11 | 2.44 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.62 | 0.2 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Lens | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| 2 | PSG | 12 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 8 | 6 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers SCO | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 17 | 11 | 4 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 17 | 10 | N/A |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 17 | 9 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 17 | 7 | 2 |
