Group Stage - FIFA World Cup 2026
France VS Senegal
New York/New Jersey Stadium
16 June, 2026
Overview:
France vs Senegal is a Group Stage match at the FIFA World Cup 2026, scheduled for 16 June 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium. France enter as the clear favorite on squad depth and recent World Cup pedigree, while Senegal profile as a compact, resilient opponent capable of keeping the game close.
Recent H2H results: France lead recent meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of France 2-1 Senegal in favor of France.
France are expected to control territory and possession with a structured 4-2-3-1, while Senegal likely defend in a compact mid-block and look for counters and set pieces. The game environment suggests France dominance without a guaranteed rout, with Senegal’s best route coming from discipline and efficiency.
Market and preview signals strongly favor France, with model-based win probabilities ranging from about 54% to 65% and a common scoreline projection of 2-1 or 1-0. Senegal’s defensive resilience increases draw probability, but France’s depth and higher chance creation remain decisive.
Last Update: 03-06-2026
Stats:
| France | Senegal |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58 | 42 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Win Probability | |
| 64.7 | 14.4 |