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Group Stage - FIFA World Cup 2026

France VS Senegal

New York/New Jersey Stadium

16 June, 2026

Overview:

France vs Senegal is a Group Stage match at the FIFA World Cup 2026, scheduled for 16 June 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium. France enter as the clear favorite on squad depth and recent World Cup pedigree, while Senegal profile as a compact, resilient opponent capable of keeping the game close.

Recent H2H results: France lead recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of France 2-1 Senegal in favor of France.
France are expected to control territory and possession with a structured 4-2-3-1, while Senegal likely defend in a compact mid-block and look for counters and set pieces. The game environment suggests France dominance without a guaranteed rout, with Senegal’s best route coming from discipline and efficiency.
Market and preview signals strongly favor France, with model-based win probabilities ranging from about 54% to 65% and a common scoreline projection of 2-1 or 1-0. Senegal’s defensive resilience increases draw probability, but France’s depth and higher chance creation remain decisive.

Last Update: 03-06-2026

Stats:

France Senegal
Expected Possession
58 42
Average Goals Per Match
1.9 0.9
Win Probability
64.7 14.4

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