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Quarter-final - FIFA World Cup 2026

Spain VS Belgium

SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles, USA)

10 July, 2026

Overview:

Spain, the reigning European champions and the only team yet to concede a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, face a fluid, high-tempo Belgium side in a quarter-final clash at SoFi Stadium that pits Spain's possession-based defensive wall against Belgium's dangerous transitional attack.

Recent H2H results: Spain unbeaten vs Belgium since 1986 (6 wins, 1 draw).

Prediction:

Recent data and overall performance levels support a prediction of a final score of 2-1 in favor of Spain.
The tactical battle will revolve around Spain's ability to sustain high possession, pressing in a 4-4-2 structure from opposition goal kicks and maintaining compact central zones, against Belgium's efforts to create rapid transitions and exploit spaces behind Spain's advanced fullbacks, with set pieces and the performances of key creators such as De Ketelaere and Spain's advanced midfielders likely to prove decisive in converting limited high-quality chances.
Spain's perfect defensive record, superior head-to-head history, and expected dominance of possession significantly increase their win probability, while Belgium's high-tempo attacking profile and recent 4-1 win over the United States elevate their upset potential and make it likely they will score; together these factors lead to a prediction of a narrow Spanish victory with a realistic chance of Belgian resistance forcing a close scoreline.

Last Update: 08-07-2026

Stats:

Spain Belgium
Expected Possession
61.5 38.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.6 1
Win Probability
0.48 0.25

Where to watch Spain vs Belgium

Spain vs Belgium at World Cup 2026 will be available on official broadcasters and streaming platforms depending on your country, including FOX, FS1, Telemundo, Peacock, DAZN, RTVE, beIN SPORTS MAX, beIN CONNECT, and TOD. If you’re traveling abroad, NordVPN can help you access licensed streams while on the move; we may earn a commission if you sign up through our link, at no extra cost to you.

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Spain vs Belgium — Live Prediction Market
Current odds: SPA 61% · BEL 17% · World Cup
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